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Portfolio Construction

Allocation targets, risk factor decomposition, and constraint monitoring across all active strategies.

Arkraft Optimal Portfolio
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PORTFOLIO COMPARISON
Current
Sharpe1.87
Sortino2.41
Max DD-11.4%
Beta0.12
Turnover34%
Eff. Bets3.7
Arkraft OptimalRECOMMENDED
Sharpe2.24
Sortino2.89
Max DD-8.7%
Beta0.08
Turnover38%
Eff. Bets5.2
Sharpe +0.37·Max DD improved 2.7%·Effective bets +1.5·Beta reduced to 0.08

The optimal portfolio improves risk-adjusted returns by adding uncorrelated alphas from the research pipeline and retiring decaying signals.

ALPHA RECOMMENDATIONS
ALPHACURRENTOPTIMALΔ SRρACTION
EARN_REV_MOMENTUMMomentum
18%22%+0.310.08
INCREASE

Highest marginal Sharpe contribution. Low correlation with other live alphas. Increase to capture more of the signal before decay.

SHORT_INT_REVERSALMean-Rev
14%16%+0.240.12
INCREASE

Strong diversification benefit. Negative correlation with momentum book provides hedging value.

OPTION_SKEW_ALPHASentiment
12%14%+0.19-0.05
INCREASE

Unique signal source (options market). Near-zero correlation improves effective bet count from 3.7 → 5.2.

MACRO_REGIME_SWITCHEvent
8%6%+0.090.23
DECREASE

Elevated correlation with market factor (0.23). Decay rate accelerating at 0.08/mo. Reduce exposure and monitor.

SECTOR_ROTATION_V2Cross-Sect
4%0%-0.020.31
RETIRE

Negative marginal Sharpe contribution. Rolling Sharpe collapsed from 1.8 → 0.94. Signal is crowded — retire immediately.

FUND_FLOW_MOMENTUMMomentum
6%2%+0.040.18
DECREASE

Decay rate 0.15/mo. Correlated with EARN_REV_MOMENTUM (ρ=0.18). Wind down gradually over 2 weeks.

CROSS_SECT_VALUEResearch
8%+0.35-0.08
ADD NEW

Highest Sharpe in research pipeline (2.31). Negative correlation with existing book. Recommend promoting to paper then live.

VOL_SURFACE_ALPHAStat-Arb
4%+0.220.05
ADD NEW

Unique vol-surface signal, almost orthogonal to existing factors. Once paper-validated, allocate 4%.

WEIGHT TRANSITION
CURRENT
18
14
12
8
OPTIMAL
22
16
14
6
8
Review all changes before applying to live portfolio

Strategy Allocation

25%
18%
22%
15%
12%
8%
Stat Arb
EM Carry
Momentum
Mean Reversion
Earnings
Vol Arb
StrategyWeightTargetSharpe
Stat Arb
25.0%25.0%2.14
EM Carry
18.0%20.0%1.87
Momentum
22.0%20.0%1.62
Mean Reversion
15.0%15.0%1.43
Earnings
12.0%12.0%1.91
Vol Arb
8.0%8.0%2.31

Risk Decomposition

Value at Risk (95%)
$4.2M
Expected Shortfall
$6.1M
Gross Leverage
1.82x
Net Exposure
34.2%
Portfolio Beta
0.12
FactorMarginal% TotalStandalone
Market
1.82%31.4%2.94%
Size
0.74%12.8%1.21%
Value
0.91%15.7%1.48%
Momentum
1.12%19.3%1.87%
Volatility
0.53%9.1%0.89%
FX
0.42%7.2%0.71%
Rates
0.26%4.5%0.44%

Portfolio Constraints

Maximum Gross Leverage
hard constraint
HARD
182%/ 200%
91% utilized
Maximum Single Name Exposure
hard constraint
HARD
3.2%/ 5.0%
64% utilized
Maximum Sector Concentration
hard constraint
HARD
24%/ 30%
80% utilized
Minimum Liquidity Coverage
soft constraint
SOFT
98%/ 95%
97% utilized
Maximum Country Exposure
hard constraint
HARD
12%/ 15%
80% utilized
Net Exposure Band (20–50%)
soft constraint
SOFT
34%/ 20–50%
7% utilized